Choices are listed in order of likeliness

Best Picture

• Likely
  • The Favourite **
  • A Star is Born **
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • ROMA **
  • BlacKkKlansman **
  • Green Book **
  • Vice **
  • Black Panther **
• Potential
  • Bohemian Rhapsody *
  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • First Man
  • Eighth Grade

Best Director

• Likely
  • Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman) **
  • Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)
  • Alfonso Cuarón (ROMA) **
  • Adam McKay (Vice) **
  • Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite) **
• Potential
  • Ryan Coogler (Black Panther)
  • Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
  • Debra Granik (Leave No Trace)

Best Actor

• Likely
  • Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) **
  • Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) **
  • Christian Bale (Vice) **
  • John David Washington (BlackKkKlansman)
  • Viggo Mortensen (Green Book) **
• Potential
  • Willem Dafoe (At Eternity’s Gate) *
  • Ryan Gosling (First Man)
  • Lucas Hedges (Boy Erased)

Best Actress

• Likely
  • Glenn Close (The Wife) **
  • Olivia Colman (The Favourite) **
  • Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) **
  • Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) **
  • Yalitza Aparicio (ROMA) **
• Potential
  • Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
  • Elsie Fisher (Eighth Grade)
  • Toni Collette (Hereditary)

Best Supporting Actor

• Likely
  • Mahershala Ali (Green Book) **
  • Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) **
  • Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) **
  • Sam Rockwell (Vice) **
  • Sam Elliott (A Star is Born) **
• Potential
  • Michael B. Jordan (Black Panther)
  • Steve Carell (Vice)
  • Timothee Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)

Best Supporting Actress

• Likely
  • Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) **
  • Emma Stone (The Favourite) **
  • Amy Adams (Vice) **
  • Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) **
  • Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie (Leave No Trace)
• Potential
  • Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)
  • Claire Foy (First Man)
  • Margot Robbie (Mary Queen of Scots)

Best Animated Movie

• Likely
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse **
  • Isle of Dogs **
  • Incredibles 2 **
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet **
  • Marai **
• Potential
  • The Grinch
  • Smallfoot

Best Adapted Screenplay

• Likely
  • BlacKkKlansman **
  • If Beale Street Could Talk **
  • Can You Ever Forgive Me? **
  • First Man
  • A Star is Born **
• Potential
  • Black Panther
  • Boy Erased
  • Leave No Trace

Best Original Screenplay

• Likely
  • The Favourite **
  • Vice **
  • ROMA **
  • Eighth Grade
  • Green Book **
• Potential
  • First Reformed *
  • Sorry to Bother You
  • A Quiet Place

Best Original Score

• Likely
  • If Beale Street Could Talk **
  • Mary Poppins Returns **
  • Black Panther **
  • Isle of Dogs **
  • BlacKkKlansman **
• Potential
  • First Man
  • Annihilation
  • Suspiria

Best Original Song

• Likely
  • “Shallow” (A Star is Born) **
  • “The Place Where Lost Things Go” (Mary Poppins Returns) **
  • “All the Stars” (Black Panther) **
  • “I’ll Fight” (RBG) **
  • “Girl in the Movies” (Dumplin)
• Potential
  • “Trip a Little Light Fantastic” (Mary Poppins Returns)

Best Cinematography

• Likely
  • The Favourite **
  • First Man
  • ROMA **
  • A Star is Born **
  • Vice
• Potential
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Widows

Best Film Editing

• Likely
  • ROMA
  • First Man
  • Vice **
  • A Star is Born
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
• Potential
  • Bohemian Rhapsody *
  • BlacKkKlansman *
  • The Favourite *

Best Sound Editing

• Likely
  • First Man **
  • A Quiet Place **
  • Bohemian Rhapsody **
  • Ready Player One
  • Black Panther **
• Potential
  • ROMA *
  • Mission Impossible: Fallout
  • A Star is Born

Best Sound Mixing

• Likely
  • First Man **
  • Bohemian Rhapsody **
  • A Star is Born **
  • Ready Player One
  • A Quiet Place
• Potential
  • Black Panther *
  • ROMA
  • Sicario 2: Day of the Soldado

Best Production Design

• Likely
  • The Favourite **
  • Mary Poppins Returns **
  • Black Panther **
  • ROMA **
  • Green Book
• Potential
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Vice

Best Visual Effects

• Likely
  • Ready Player One **
  • Avengers: Infinity War **
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Black Panther
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story **
• Potential
  • First Man *
  • Welcome to Marwen
  • Ant-Man and the Wasp

Best Makeup and Hair Design

• Likely
  • Black Panther
  • Mary Queen of Scots **
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
• Potential
  • Suspiria
  • Vice *

Best Costume Design

• Likely
  • Mary Poppins Returns **
  • The Favourite **
  • Black Panther **
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
• Potential
  • Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  • Mary Queen of Scots

Best Foreign Language Film

• Likely
  • ROMA (Mexico) **
  • Shoplifters (Japan) **
  • Burning (South Korea)
  • Cold War (Poland) **
  • Capharnaüm (Lebanon) **

Best Documentary

• Likely
  • Won’t You Be My Neighbor?
  • Three Identical Strangers
  • RBG **
  • They Shall Not Grow Old
  • Minding the Gap